||Colson, V.; Lejeune, P.,
||A regional travel model for predicting the number of visitors in forests: application to the Walloon region
||Management for Protection and Sustainable Development
||MMV 4 - Proceedings
||MMV4, decay curve, forest recreation, GIS, travel model, Wallonia
||The Walloon forests are visited by local people and tourists but the importance of forest recreation is very different from one part of the Region to another. As it was particularly difficult to obtain quantified information by counting, a model has been built by GIS and taking results from different surveys (telephone survey and face-to-face interviews) into account. This model makes the distinction between local visitors and one-day tourists coming from the neighbouring regions (in a buffer zone of 50 km). A decay curve based on travel time is used for predicting the number of visits throughout all Walloon forests from each departure point. An attraction function is added to the model to attribute each visit to a woodland and different scenarios have been tested to obtain a distribution of people by regions of provenance as similar as the results of surveys. At a regional level, this model is a good alternative for counting and gives a good overview of the forests for which recreation activities are more relevant and have to be taken into account in forest management plans.
||ILEN @ m.sokopp @ 1066
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